11 April 2013

Bull & Bear Market

Patient during bull markets (upwards trend) and aggressive during bear markets (downwards trend). 
Rather than siting on the sidelines in bear markets, investors can actually thrive and make profits. That's because stocks fall faster than they rise as fear is much stronger than greed. 

Just this morning, 2 out of 3 of my REITs hit their 52week high. My paper gain for REITs on average is about 16.8% in a span of only about 8months and less. 
Buy Price Current Price Paper Gain  % Paper Gain
Cambridge Industrial Trust 0.655 0.810 0.155 15.50%
Starhill Global REIT 0.745 0.950 0.205 20.50%
Suntec REIT 1.775 1.920 0.145 14.50%

No doubt there's some fear in me that my REITs prices will/may dip in a bear market however, I'll still be receiving dividends so that's comforting for me to know. Also, REITs have actual physical assets and so any REITs that are undervalued (below NAV) are worth investing in. It's similar to how you will buy a house in an economic recession at a discount because you are confident its price will rise again when the economy recovers. 

Many people shun away from the stock market when the economy is down but I feel that if others can profit from it, then why can't I do likewise? 

"Short selling"/"Put Options" is what people do during bear markets. A general rule is to short stocks that are already going down. Get onto a moving train, it's a lot more profitable.
Other than short selling, it takes courage to buy when everyone else is panic-selling. That's when stocks become undervalued & you get a good discount to what a stock is really worth. 

I'm excited for the next bear market as I would like to see how I fare/respond to the market. Making mistakes are a great way to learn. The fear of making mistakes often prevents people from learning what could possibly be one of their best lessons in life.  Embrace mistakes. Growing up in a rigid educational system in Singapore where mistakes are often frown upon, it's hard to break away from that mental notion but once you break free from those "chains", you're free to "fly".

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